Regulations

Four Studies Show ACA Is Working Well

By Robert Sheen | August 20, 2015
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Four studies published in mid-August indicate that the Act is achieving its goal reducing the number Americans without , while having no negative impact or labor force participation.

The studies were released  by the Urban Institute in partnership with the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation; the National Center for Statistics the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; the Centers for & Services; and Gallup, Inc.

The Urban Institute , which asks “Has the Been a Job Killer?”, examined data from January 2000 to December 2014, looking at labor supply, labor force participation, employment, part- employment, and worked .

“We find that the had virtually no adverse effect labor force participation, employment, or usual worked through 2014,” the study concludes. This was true both for policies overall and for expansion states.

Adult employment in 2014 was actually slightly higher – by 1.8% – than statistical trends would have predicted. - employment was 0.5% higher than trends would have predicted, but this likely resulted from the recovery in the labor market.

Labor force participation fell from about 79% the non-elderly adult population in 2000 to about 75% at the end 2014. The expected rate participation closely tracked the actual rate, with changes caused largely by economic conditions, including the Great Recession 2008-2011. Similarly, the ratio employment to population also was virtually the same as projected.

Just under 8% the working-age population had - in 2000, according to the study. That figure held fairly steady through 2008, then jumped to almost 10% during the recession, declining to about 9.5% at the end 2014.

worked were 40 in 2000. That declined by about half an prior to the recession, then fell to about 38.5 by 2010. Since then it has recovered to about 39 .

The CDC’s 27-page statistical analysis shows that the percentage adults 18 to 64 years age who were fell from about 20% in 1997 to 13% in March this year. Among children under 18, the percentage without   decreased from about 15% in 1997 to 4.6% in March.

According to a issued by the Centers for & Services (CMS), the is performing well at providing a safety net for those who lose their because “life changes,” such as loss a job.

The agency looked at 944,000 individuals who because life changes were eligible to sign up for a between February 23 and June this year, outside the normal . these, 50% had lost their because they lost their or for other reasons.

A Gallup found that currently only one state, Texas, has an rate more than 20%, compared to 14 states in 2013, when implementation the began.

In 2013 only five states had rates 10% or less, while today that is true for 26 states.

Among the states that have had the sharpest decline in their rates are Arkansas, which reduced its rate from 22.5% in 2013 to 9.1% at mid-2015; Kentucky, from 20.4% to 9.0%; Oregon, 19.4% to 8.8%; Washington, from 16.8% to 6.4%; and Rhode Island, 13.3% to 2.7%.

No state has reported a statistically significant increase in the percentage compared to 2013, Gallup noted. Nationwide, according to their survey the rate in June this year was 11.7%.

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